UPDATE: 2025/11/23 07:59 EST BY BRENNAN KLEIN
Wicked: For Good Dips Slightly From $151.5M Projections, Still Record-Breaking Smash
This article was originally written Saturday AM and has been updated Sunday AM with up-to-date box office projections (in bold). Scroll down for a full chart and further analysis.
Wicked: For Good, which adapts act 2 of the hit Broadway musical of the same name, is smashing multiple records during its opening weekend. The Wicked: For Good release kicked off on November 21, after a fall with only a few scattered box office successes (most notably Black Phone 2 and Predator: Badlands).
The stretch from October through mid-November has otherwise been marked by lukewarm box office openings (Now You See Me: Now You Don’t, The Running Man, Roofman) and outright flops (The Smashing Machine, Christy, Tron: Ares).
Per Variety, as of Sunday morning, Wicked: For Good is projected to earn a 3-day total of $150 million at the domestic box office by the end of its opening weekend. This marks the biggest debut in history for a Broadway adaptation, blowing the $112.5 million debut of 2024’s Wicked out of the water.
While For Good had an advantage over the original Wicked thanks to preview screenings on Monday and Wednesday, those screenings only brought in roughly $12 million. Therefore, even if those screenings had not taken place, the sequel would still have earned $25.5 million more than its predecessor’s opening weekend.
This opening weekend, including the preview numbers, is impressive for a 3-day haul in general. In fact, there are only 13 movies that have been released in 2025 so far that have earned more than $150 million at the domestic box office during their entire runs.
Wicked: For Good has already outgrossed numerous major titles on the domestic chart, including Final Destination Bloodlines ($138.1 million), Freakier Friday ($94.2 million), The Bad Guys 2 ($82.6 million), One Battle After Another ($70.3 million), From the World of John Wick: Ballerina ($58 million), and Karate Kid: Legends ($52.5 million).
2025’s Wicked: For Good is also expected to score some important second-place records, earning the second-best opening weekend of 2025 so far (behind A Minecraft Movie‘s $162.7 million) and the second-best opening weekend of all time for a Universal movie (behind 2015’s Jurassic World with $208.8 million).
While A Minecraft Movie did not pass the billion-dollar mark in theaters by the end of its run, earning $957.9 million worldwide, the previous second-best domestic debut of the year went to the live-action remake Lilo & Stitch, which debuted with $146 million and eventually grossed $1.038 billion worldwide. If Wicked: For Good follows its lead, it has the potential to similarly gross more than $1 billion by the end of its run.
This Weekend’s Domestic Box Office Top 5
Below, see the full domestic Top 5 chart for the weekend:
|
# |
Title |
3-Day Total |
Cumulative (Domestic) |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1 |
Wicked: For Good |
$150 million |
$150 million (weekend 1) |
|
2 |
Now You See Me: Now You Don’t |
$9.6 million |
$37 million (weekend 2) |
|
3 |
Predator: Badlands |
$6.5 million |
$76 million (weekend 3) |
|
4 |
The Running Man |
$6.1 million |
$27 million (weekend 2) |
|
5 |
Rental Family |
$3.3 million |
$3.3 million (weekend 1) |
With Wicked: For Good soaring to No. 1, the previous weekend’s top title, the magical heist sequel Now You See Me: Now You Don’t, has fallen to No. 2 with a not-bad week-on-week drop of 54%. It still has a way to climb in order to break even off its reported $90 million budget, but it is making solid progress.
Meanwhile, Edgar Wright’s Stephen King adaptation The Running Man has dropped from No. 2 straight to No. 4 with a more brutal drop of 63%. Its own reported budget of $110 million could prove to be a hindrance, because its international grosses are severely underperforming compared to Now You See Me 3, even though their domestic debuts were less than $5 million apart.
The Running Man has skirted around the standalone sci-fi sequel Predator: Badlands, which maintained its position at No. 3 with a drop of just 49%. Its cumulative domestic total of $76 million sees it drawing close to surpassing the domestic gross of 2004’s Alien vs. Predator ($80.3 million) to become the highest-grossing Predator movie of all time in North America.
Meanwhile, the new Brendan Fraser drama Rental Family has premiered at No. 5. Together with Wicked: For Good, it has pushed the previous weekend’s No. 4 and No. 5 titles (the Colleen Hoover romance Regretting You and the Blumhouse horror sequel Black Phone 2) to No. 7 and No. 9 respectively.
As Wicked: For Good lords over the other titles on the chart, it may prove to be the kickoff to a strong holiday movie season after a dismal fall. There are a number of promising titles coming in the wake of the musical sequel, including Zootopia 2, Five Nights at Freddy’s 2, and Avatar: Fire and Ash.
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- Release Date
-
November 7, 2025
- Runtime
-
135 minutes
- Director
-
David Michôd
- Writers
-
Mirrah Foulkes, David Michôd
- Producers
-
Brent Stiefel, Kerry Kohansky-Roberts, Sydney Sweeney, Teddy Schwarzman, John Friedberg, Michael Heimler, Justin Lothrop, Brad Zimmerman, David Levine
