Bookings for commercial flights between the U.S. and Canada have absolutely collapsed amid rising tensions between the two countries.
Amid the imposition of tariffs on Canadian goods and Trump’s desire to make Canada the 51st state, the number of bookings hs fallen by a staggering 75.7 percent.
One Mile at a Time, a news outlet that covers trends in the travel industry, has all the details:
Aviation analytics company OAG has published some data on the decline in flight bookings between the countries, and it’s worse than most people probably imagined. Specifically, the company compared summer season bookings in March 2024 vs. March 2025.
In other words, at this point in both years, how many people have booked transborder flights in April through September?
Well, I hope you’re sitting down. For that six month period, the number of tickets booked is down anywhere from 71.4% to 75.7%. Just as an example, April is less than a week away, and here’s how bookings between the two countries are looking:
- In March 2024, 1,218,570 tickets had been booked for April 2024
- In March 2025, 295,982 tickets have been booked for April 2025
- That represents a 75.7% reduction in tickets booked.
The report also notes airlines have already reduced the number of scheduled flights 3.5 percent,adding that this “level of demand shift is something you almost never see.”
Yet should this trend continue, airlines will need to make radical overhauls to their flight schedules to align with the massive fall in demand.
Historically, the two countries have enjoyed one of the busiest air corridors in the world, with millions of travelers moving for business, tourism, and family visits.
While relations between Canada and the U.S. may currently be at their lowest point in years, that could soon change if the Conservative Party of Canada triumphs at next month’s general election.
The Conservative Party leader, Pierre Poilievre, is far more ideologically aligned with the Trump administration than Liberal Party leader Mark Carney, who only recently took over from the long-standing Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.
However, the likelihood of this happening has fallen in recent months as the commanding lead that Poilievre once had in the polls has diminished.
Carney, meanwhile, is warning that he needs “clear mandate” to push back against the Trump, argiung that his administration “wants to break us so America will own us.”